Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 361.332931 409.642429 463.177299 527.105059 601.628519 686.072824 789.443593
2025-11-16 287.521730 350.532754 426.611217 526.047489 653.779192 813.966525 1032.626909
2025-11-23 244.319965 312.244436 399.001103 519.480217 684.906756 907.712235 1236.788969
2025-11-30 217.300965 288.428175 383.507663 522.297190 723.794697 1012.205165 1468.457600
2025-12-07 192.832966 263.962346 362.660347 512.827287 741.332997 1085.885608 1664.600907
2025-12-14 174.871197 245.967710 347.939370 508.962610 764.672275 1169.185671 1887.819353
2025-12-21 155.709368 223.965984 324.580430 488.470610 758.283111 1202.966097 2032.380477
2025-12-28 148.319721 218.505105 325.054354 504.564979 812.017266 1342.341008 2387.316242
2026-01-04 142.724927 215.076415 328.031043 524.592504 874.413779 1505.410733 2818.755875
2026-01-11 134.134359 206.041319 321.005164 526.694457 905.129522 1615.013636 3166.311533
2026-01-18 123.978804 193.559499 307.079260 515.076129 908.910092 1673.392827 3417.588392
2026-01-25 115.341077 182.848248 295.111842 505.515831 915.029604 1736.696096 3692.175562
2026-02-01 111.140634 179.387249 295.473085 518.977434 968.593461 1907.621608 4261.263266
2026-02-08 104.904936 171.946182 288.213342 517.336626 991.715441 2018.061276 4712.402072
2026-02-15 98.594943 163.862106 279.056655 510.931933 1003.866760 2105.832223 5127.127206
2026-02-22 94.146723 158.729409 274.808868 513.692481 1035.830295 2244.298199 5715.886539
2026-03-01 88.516445 151.039634 265.147848 504.405091 1039.864747 2316.630548 6136.206529
2026-03-08 84.053936 145.178658 258.478268 500.614675 1055.832277 2421.179762 6683.061427
2026-03-15 78.029681 136.010835 244.747631 480.514851 1031.219593 2417.916463 6891.523749
2026-03-22 76.541554 135.303631 247.508376 496.301438 1094.431418 2657.656558 7972.339796
2026-03-29 75.510999 135.386014 251.819748 515.943622 1170.010843 2946.719123 9330.313956
2026-04-05 72.732979 131.867407 248.528715 518.004985 1201.321282 3116.273708 10315.100076
2026-04-12 68.849100 125.920782 239.792817 506.610667 1196.020409 3176.818107 10900.752787